Aaron Rodgers

California · 2005 Draft Class

6-2223 lbs1st round, 24th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~42

Medium25+ Total TD

Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --

Model confidence

Success Probability

45%

Year	Team	G	GS	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2005	GNB	3	0	9	16	65	0	1	7	0	0
2006	GNB	2	0	6	15	46	0	0	11	0	0
2007	GNB	2	0	20	28	218	1	0	29	0	1
2008	GNB	16	16	341	536	4,038	28	13	207	4	32
2009	GNB	16	16	350	541	4,434	30	7	316	5	35
2010	GNB	15	15	312	475	3,922	28	11	356	4	32
2011	GNB	15	15	343	502	4,643	45	6	257	3	48
2012	GNB	16	16	371	552	4,295	39	8	259	2	41
2013	GNB	9	9	193	290	2,536	17	6	120	0	17
2014	GNB	16	16	341	520	4,381	38	5	269	2	40
2015	GNB	16	16	347	572	3,821	31	8	344	1	32
2016	GNB	16	16	401	610	4,428	40	7	369	4	44
2017	GNB	7	7	154	238	1,675	16	6	126	0	16
2018	GNB	16	16	372	597	4,442	25	2	269	2	27
2019	GNB	16	16	353	569	4,002	26	4	183	1	27
2020	GNB	16	16	372	526	4,299	48	5	149	3	51
2021	GNB	16	16	366	531	4,115	37	4	101	3	40
2022	GNB	17	17	350	542	3,695	26	12	94	1	27
2023	NYJ	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024	NYJ	17	17	368	584	3,897	28	11	107	0	28
2025	PIT	16	16	327	498	3,322	24	7	61	1	25

Season	Team	Conf	G	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2003	California	ACC	12	219	345	2,845	19	1	312	5	24
2004	California	ACC	11	185	274	2,320	23	7	110	2	25

Model readout

XGBoost Prob

45%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.365

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351

5,165 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

224.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.339

Height-adjusted speed: 4.58s — below average speed for frame-0.297

Composite college score: 9 — above avg multi-metric profile-0.261