Player breakdown
Aidan Chiles
Michigan State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
43%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8 | 119 | 195 | 1,331 | 8 | 3 | 392 | 5 | 13 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
43%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1331 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.349
1,331 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+1331.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
166.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325