Player breakdown
A.J. McCarron
Alabama · 2014 Draft Class
6-3220 lbs5th round, 164th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
5%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | CIN | 7 | 3 | 79 | 119 | 854 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 6 |
| 2017 | CIN | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | OAK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | HOU | 2 | 1 | 21 | 37 | 225 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 1 |
| 2020 | HOU | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | CIN | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Alabama | SEC | 3 | 24 | 42 | 338 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2011 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | 196 | 294 | 2,400 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 2012 | Alabama | SEC | 12 | 211 | 314 | 2,933 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| 2013 | Alabama | SEC | 11 | 207 | 306 | 2,676 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
5%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.34s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
8,347 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
111 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.171
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.85 — elite athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+7.7) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.359