Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Alex Brink
Alex Brink

Player breakdown

Alex Brink

Washington St. · 2008 Draft Class

6-2211 lbs7th round, 223rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004Washington StatePac-126971941,30575007
2005Washington StatePac-12102053582,8912413106226
2006Washington StatePac-12112413952,899191013221
2007Washington StatePac-12113055033,818261534026

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.19s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
10,913 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Best-season yards rank: top 33% in class — average+0.198

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.82 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+1.9) — getting better faster each year-0.383
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.350

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)