Player breakdown
Alex McGough
Florida International · 2018 Draft Class
7th round, 220th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Florida International | Conference USA | 10 | 138 | 274 | 1,680 | 14 | 10 | 92 | 4 | 18 |
| 2015 | Florida International | Conference USA | 0 | 269 | 420 | 2,722 | 21 | 8 | 95 | 3 | 24 |
| 2016 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6 | 167 | 286 | 1,891 | 13 | 11 | 117 | 4 | 17 |
| 2017 | Florida International | Conference USA | 12 | 231 | 354 | 2,791 | 17 | 8 | 214 | 5 | 22 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
12%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
9,084 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.268
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.260
Improvement accelerating (+0.7) — getting better faster each year+0.228
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.546
324.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319