Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Alonza Barnett
Alonza Barnett

Player breakdown

Alonza Barnett

James Madison · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

53%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025James MadisonSun Belt141943452,283566681116

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

53%

ML model output

Context Prob

53%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1141 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.349
2,283 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+2283.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
163.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)