Player breakdown
Andrew Luck
Stanford · 2012 Draft Class
6-4234 lbs1st round, 1st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
HighUnitas x125+ Total TD
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
70%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | IND | 16 | 16 | 339 | 627 | 4,374 | 23 | 18 | 255 | 5 | 28 |
| 2013 | IND | 16 | 16 | 343 | 570 | 3,822 | 23 | 9 | 377 | 4 | 27 |
| 2014 | IND | 16 | 16 | 380 | 616 | 4,761 | 40 | 16 | 273 | 3 | 43 |
| 2015 | IND | 7 | 7 | 162 | 293 | 1,881 | 15 | 12 | 196 | 0 | 15 |
| 2016 | IND | 15 | 15 | 346 | 545 | 4,240 | 31 | 13 | 341 | 2 | 33 |
| 2018 | IND | 16 | 16 | 430 | 639 | 4,593 | 39 | 15 | 148 | 0 | 39 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Stanford | ACC | 9 | 162 | 288 | 2,575 | 13 | 4 | 354 | 2 | 15 |
| 2010 | Stanford | ACC | 11 | 245 | 349 | 3,051 | 28 | 7 | 438 | 3 | 31 |
| 2011 | Stanford | ACC | 12 | 261 | 373 | 3,170 | 35 | 9 | 153 | 2 | 37 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
51%
ML model output
Context Prob
51%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.98 — elite athletic ceiling+0.365
Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.351
4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
Top Negative Factors
274.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
Height-adjusted speed: 4.35s — elite speed for frame-0.297