Player breakdown
Baker Mayfield
Oklahoma · 2018 Draft Class
6-1215 lbs1st round, 1st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
EliteHeisman x1Davey O'Brien x1Manning x1All-American x125+ Total TD
Major awards: 4Heisman votes: 2398NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | CLE | 14 | 13 | 310 | 486 | 3,725 | 27 | 14 | 131 | 0 | 27 |
| 2019 | CLE | 16 | 16 | 317 | 534 | 3,827 | 22 | 21 | 141 | 3 | 25 |
| 2020 | CLE | 16 | 16 | 305 | 486 | 3,563 | 26 | 8 | 165 | 1 | 27 |
| 2021 | CLE | 14 | 14 | 253 | 418 | 3,010 | 17 | 13 | 134 | 1 | 18 |
| 2022 | LAR | 5 | 4 | 82 | 129 | 850 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 4 |
| 2023 | TAM | 17 | 17 | 364 | 566 | 4,044 | 28 | 10 | 163 | 1 | 29 |
| 2024 | TAM | 17 | 17 | 407 | 570 | 4,500 | 41 | 16 | 378 | 3 | 44 |
| 2025 | TAM | 17 | 17 | 343 | 543 | 3,693 | 26 | 11 | 382 | 1 | 27 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6 | 218 | 340 | 2,315 | 12 | 9 | 190 | 3 | 15 |
| 2015 | Oklahoma | SEC | 0 | 243 | 354 | 3,389 | 35 | 5 | 420 | 7 | 42 |
| 2016 | Oklahoma | SEC | 12 | 235 | 330 | 3,669 | 38 | 8 | 143 | 6 | 44 |
| 2017 | Oklahoma | SEC | 13 | 262 | 369 | 4,340 | 41 | 5 | 310 | 5 | 46 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
60%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
11,398 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.85 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
455.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
Height-adjusted speed: 4.77s — below average speed for frame-0.289