Ben Roethlisberger

Miami (OH) · 2004 Draft Class

6-5241 lbs1st round, 11th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44

Medium25+ Total TD

Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --

Model confidence

Success Probability

43%

Year	Team	G	GS	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2004	PIT	14	13	196	295	2,621	17	11	144	1	18
2005	PIT	12	12	168	268	2,385	17	9	69	3	20
2006	PIT	15	15	280	469	3,513	18	23	98	2	20
2007	PIT	15	15	264	404	3,154	32	11	204	2	34
2008	PIT	16	16	281	469	3,301	17	15	101	2	19
2009	PIT	15	15	337	506	4,328	26	12	82	2	28
2010	PIT	12	12	240	389	3,200	17	5	176	2	19
2011	PIT	15	15	324	513	4,077	21	14	70	0	21
2012	PIT	13	13	284	449	3,265	26	8	92	0	26
2013	PIT	16	16	375	584	4,261	28	14	99	1	29
2014	PIT	16	16	408	608	4,952	32	9	27	0	32
2015	PIT	12	11	319	469	3,938	21	16	29	0	21
2016	PIT	14	14	328	509	3,819	29	13	14	1	30
2017	PIT	15	15	360	561	4,251	28	14	47	0	28
2018	PIT	16	16	452	675	5,129	34	16	98	3	37
2019	PIT	2	2	35	62	351	0	1	7	0	0
2020	PIT	15	15	399	608	3,803	33	10	11	0	33
2021	PIT	16	16	390	605	3,740	22	10	5	1	23

Season	Team	Conf	G	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2003	Miami (OH)	Mid-American	7	162	224	2,235	18	0	126	1	19

Model readout

XGBoost Prob

43%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Physical upside: 0.96 — elite athletic ceiling+0.362

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351

2,235 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273

319.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322

Height-adjusted speed: 4.44s — good speed for frame-0.320

Best-season yards rank: top 62% in class — average-0.286