Predicting the Pros
Predictions/B.J. Daniels
B.J. Daniels

Player breakdown

B.J. Daniels

South Florida · 2013 Draft Class

7th round, 237th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~37
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2015HOU2012700600
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008South FloridaAmerican Athletic0458600200
2009South FloridaAmerican Athletic101222271,983149772923
2010South FloridaAmerican Athletic01232181,496912237413
2011South FloridaAmerican Athletic102153652,604137601619
2012South FloridaAmerican Athletic81642892,0781410426519

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

9%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

8,247 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.268
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.260
Composite college score: 11 — above avg multi-metric profile+0.168

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+29.3) — getting better faster each year-0.390
294.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)