Predicting the Pros
Predictions/B.J. Symons
B.J. Symons

Player breakdown

B.J. Symons

Texas Tech · 2004 Draft Class

6-0210 lbs7th round, 248th overallAge: ~41
HighMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

59%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003Texas TechBig 12134817025,851542325559

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

59%

ML model output

Context Prob

59%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.345
5,851 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.82 — elite athletic ceiling-0.568
450.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
Height-adjusted speed: 4.90s — below average speed for frame-0.307

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)