Player breakdown
Blake Bortles
Central Florida · 2014 Draft Class
6-5232 lbs1st round, 3rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
Medium25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | JAX | 14 | 13 | 280 | 475 | 2,908 | 11 | 17 | 419 | 0 | 11 |
| 2015 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 355 | 606 | 4,428 | 35 | 18 | 310 | 2 | 37 |
| 2016 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 368 | 625 | 3,905 | 23 | 16 | 359 | 3 | 26 |
| 2017 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 315 | 523 | 3,687 | 21 | 13 | 322 | 2 | 23 |
| 2018 | JAX | 13 | 12 | 243 | 403 | 2,718 | 13 | 11 | 365 | 1 | 14 |
| 2019 | LAR | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -9 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | UCF | Big 12 | 4 | 75 | 110 | 958 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2012 | UCF | Big 12 | 13 | 251 | 399 | 3,059 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 8 | 33 |
| 2013 | UCF | Big 12 | 10 | 239 | 351 | 3,280 | 22 | 7 | 179 | 5 | 27 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
44%
ML model output
Context Prob
44%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.454
Strong ascending production slope (+1161 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
4.21s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+2.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
270.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.315