Player breakdown
Blake Shapen
Mississippi State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
35%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | SEC | 11 | 186 | 279 | 2,298 | 8 | 1 | 271 | 2 | 10 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
35%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
2,298 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+2298.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
208.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325