Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brad Kaaya
Brad Kaaya

Player breakdown

Brad Kaaya

Miami (FL) · 2017 Draft Class

6-4214 lbs6th round, 215th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

43%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2014MiamiACC122023452,96225110025
2015MiamiACC02213583,0191540015
2016MiamiACC92373873,2502370023

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

43%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.351
9,231 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.60 — strong athletic ceiling-0.557
439.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Best-season yards rank: top 50% in class — average-0.290

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)