Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Bradlee Van Pelt
Bradlee Van Pelt

Player breakdown

Bradlee Van Pelt

Colorado St. · 2004 Draft Class

6-2231 lbs7th round, 250th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~46
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2005DEN30287004811
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003Colorado StateMountain West352888106024439

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351
4.11s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
810 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.554
270.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322
Height-adjusted speed: 4.85s — below average speed for frame-0.314

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)