Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brandon Allen
Brandon Allen

Player breakdown

Brandon Allen

Arkansas · 2016 Draft Class

6-1217 lbs6th round, 201st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~34
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2019DEN333984515323903
2020CIN5590142925542705
2021CIN61173414920-102
2022CIN10332200-100
2024SFO31173019912401
2025TEN1017307201000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2012ArkansasSEC1214918613001
2013ArkansasSEC71282581,552131029114
2014ArkansasSEC101783162,1251850018
2015ArkansasSEC02243443,125297116130

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+979 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.308
4.33s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
6,988 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.85 — elite athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+15.8) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.359

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)