Player breakdown
Brandon Doughty
Western Kentucky · 2016 Draft Class
6-3213 lbs7th round, 223rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~34
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
46%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 0 | 13 | 22 | 106 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2013 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8 | 246 | 374 | 2,857 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 2014 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 12 | 344 | 510 | 4,344 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 44 |
| 2015 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 0 | 356 | 496 | 4,594 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 45 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
46%
ML model output
Context Prob
46%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1122 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4.52s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
11,908 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.78 — strong athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+42.3) — getting better faster each year-0.390
5 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353