Player breakdown
Brandon Weeden
Oklahoma St. · 2012 Draft Class
6-3221 lbs1st round, 22nd overallAge at Draft: 28Age: ~42
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
27%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | CLE | 15 | 15 | 297 | 517 | 3,385 | 14 | 17 | 111 | 0 | 14 |
| 2013 | CLE | 8 | 5 | 141 | 267 | 1,731 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 9 |
| 2014 | DAL | 5 | 1 | 24 | 41 | 303 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2015 | HOU | 2 | 1 | 26 | 42 | 305 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4 |
| 2018 | HOU | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2009 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2 | 15 | 24 | 248 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 4 |
| 2010 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 12 | 317 | 470 | 4,037 | 32 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| 2011 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 11 | 379 | 522 | 4,328 | 34 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
27%
ML model output
Context Prob
27%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1440 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
8,621 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.245
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+540.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.340