Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brian Brohm
Brian Brohm

Player breakdown

Brian Brohm

Louisville · 2008 Draft Class

6-3230 lbs2nd round, 56th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

51%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2009BUF21172914602-300
2010BUF11102310603000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004LouisvilleACC66393777518127
2005LouisvilleACC82073012,8831950019
2006LouisvilleACC91752792,73816542016
2007LouisvilleACC123084734,02429120029

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

51%

ML model output

Context Prob

51%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
Strong ascending production slope (+1082 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
4.55s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+4.2) — getting better faster each year-0.383
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.347
297.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)