Player breakdown
Brock Purdy
Iowa St. · 2022 Draft Class
6-1212 lbs7th round, 262nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
Low25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | SFO | 9 | 5 | 114 | 170 | 1,374 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 2023 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 308 | 444 | 4,280 | 31 | 11 | 144 | 2 | 33 |
| 2024 | SFO | 15 | 15 | 300 | 455 | 3,864 | 20 | 12 | 323 | 5 | 25 |
| 2025 | SFO | 9 | 9 | 197 | 284 | 2,167 | 20 | 10 | 147 | 3 | 23 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7 | 128 | 193 | 1,935 | 16 | 5 | 262 | 3 | 19 |
| 2019 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 12 | 295 | 445 | 3,760 | 27 | 9 | 265 | 8 | 35 |
| 2020 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 10 | 243 | 365 | 2,750 | 19 | 9 | 382 | 5 | 24 |
| 2021 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 9 | 269 | 368 | 2,984 | 18 | 7 | 224 | 1 | 19 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
10%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.45s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
11,429 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Improvement accelerating (+0.9) — getting better faster each year+0.214
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.566
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.347
300.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.346