Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brodie Croyle
Brodie Croyle

Player breakdown

Brodie Croyle

Alabama · 2006 Draft Class

6-2205 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2006KAN20372302-300
2007KAN961272241,227661806
2008KAN22202915100000
2009KAN31234023020002
2010KAN218193801000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003AlabamaSEC101572771,826120181012
2004AlabamaSEC3446653460006
2005AlabamaSEC71833082,2241340013

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.25s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
4,584 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.82 — elite athletic ceiling-0.546
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
229.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)