Player breakdown
Bryce Petty
Baylor · 2015 Draft Class
6-3230 lbs4th round, 103rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~35
HighMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
55%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | NYJ | 6 | 4 | 75 | 133 | 809 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 3 |
| 2017 | NYJ | 4 | 3 | 55 | 112 | 544 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Baylor | Big 12 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 97 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| 2013 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12 | 220 | 356 | 3,844 | 30 | 2 | 192 | 11 | 41 |
| 2014 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11 | 234 | 377 | 3,305 | 26 | 6 | 137 | 5 | 31 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
55%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.408
Strong ascending production slope (+1087 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4.13s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+88.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.340
291.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.338