Player breakdown
Caden Creel
Jacksonville State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 14 | 123 | 196 | 1,434 | 2 | 4 | 979 | 3 | 5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
44%
ML model output
Context Prob
44%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1434 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.349
1,434 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+1434.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
119.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325