Player breakdown
Cardale Jones
Ohio St. · 2016 Draft Class
6-5253 lbs4th round, 139th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | BUF | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 96 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 1 | 1 |
| 2014 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 2 | 22 | 34 | 375 | 5 | 0 | 215 | 0 | 5 |
| 2015 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 0 | 110 | 176 | 1,460 | 8 | 5 | 193 | 2 | 10 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
11%
ML model output
Context Prob
11%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.97 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
1,838 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+485.7) — getting better faster each year-0.397
612.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322
Height-adjusted speed: 4.50s — below average speed for frame-0.295