Player breakdown
Carson Beck
Miami · 2026 Draft Class
6-5233 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.8M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
53%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami | ACC | 16 | 316 | 432 | 3,394 | 11 | 7 | 166 | 1 | 12 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
53%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1131 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
3,394 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.267
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.63 — strong athletic ceiling-0.574
Improvement accelerating (+3394.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
212.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335