Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chad Henne
Chad Henne

Player breakdown

Chad Henne

Michigan · 2008 Draft Class

6-3230 lbs2nd round, 57th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008MIA307126700000
2009MIA14132744512,878121432113
2010MIA15143014903,301151952015
2011MIA44641128684411215
2012JAX1061663082,084111164112
2013JAX15133055033,241131477013
2014JAX334278492312503
2016JAX1000000-200
2017JAX2002000-500
2018KAN10232900300
2020KAN31283824820-213
2021KAN4011168200000
2022KAN3002000-500
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004MichiganBig Ten112223652,51621120021
2005MichiganBig Ten102023392,2562070020
2006MichiganBig Ten101772872,1992070020
2007MichiganBig Ten71372391,5651470014

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

9%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351
4.40s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
8,536 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.88 — elite athletic ceiling-0.437
224.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)