Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chandler Harnish
Chandler Harnish

Player breakdown

Chandler Harnish

Northern Illinois · 2012 Draft Class

6-2219 lbs7th round, 253rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~38
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008Northern IllinoisMid-American5981711,34277478411
2009Northern IllinoisMid-American91432231,670116229213
2010Northern IllinoisMid-American111722662,230205764525
2011Northern IllinoisMid-American102193482,9422651,3821137

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

13%

ML model output

Context Prob

13%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.15s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
8,184 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.397
233.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.338

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)