Player breakdown
Charlie Frye
Akron · 2005 Draft Class
6-4225 lbs3rd round, 67th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~45
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | CLE | 7 | 5 | 98 | 164 | 1,002 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 1 | 5 |
| 2006 | CLE | 13 | 13 | 252 | 393 | 2,454 | 10 | 17 | 215 | 3 | 13 |
| 2007 | CLE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2008 | SEA | 2 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 83 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 2 |
| 2009 | OAK | 3 | 3 | 53 | 87 | 581 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Akron | Mid-American | 1 | 26 | 40 | 286 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| 2004 | Akron | Mid-American | 9 | 220 | 346 | 2,623 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
37%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.362
Strong ascending production slope (+2337 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
2,909 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+8.2) — getting better faster each year-0.390
290.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318
Height-adjusted speed: 4.54s — below average speed for frame-0.314