Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Charlie Whitehurst
Charlie Whitehurst

Player breakdown

Charlie Whitehurst

Clemson · 2006 Draft Class

6-5223 lbs3rd round, 81st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~44
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

44%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2006SDG20000001311
2010SEA625799507234313
2011SEA322756298111301
2013SDG2000000-500
2014TEN751051851,326729007
2015IND40163215001100
2016CLE10142418211101
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003ClemsonACC122784363,200171184421
2004ClemsonACC71773492,0677176918
2005ClemsonACC62083112,27811929213

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

44%

ML model output

Context Prob

44%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
4.11s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

301.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
Height-adjusted speed: 4.44s — good speed for frame-0.290

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)