Player breakdown
Chase Jenkins
Rice · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Rice | American Athletic | 12 | 105 | 150 | 933 | 3 | 0 | 587 | 4 | 7 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
28%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
933 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
0 season(s) at 80+ ypg — no elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+933.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
77.8 career ypg — solid college production-0.325