Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Oladokun
Chris Oladokun

Player breakdown

Chris Oladokun

South Dakota St. · 2022 Draft Class

7th round, 241st overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~29
HighMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

59%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2024KAN1000000500
2025KAN323555235101801
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2017South FloridaAmerican Athletic0111200100
2018South FloridaAmerican Athletic21939267311903
2021South Dakota StateMVFC122153492,849246156226

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

59%

ML model output

Context Prob

59%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1418 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
2,849 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.265

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+236.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
237.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.348

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)