Player breakdown
Christian Hackenberg
Penn St. · 2016 Draft Class
6-4223 lbs2nd round, 51st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
33%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11 | 231 | 392 | 2,955 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2014 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6 | 236 | 434 | 2,606 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2015 | Penn State | Big Ten | 0 | 184 | 345 | 2,386 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
33%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.340
4.33s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
Top Negative Factors
467.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335
Best-season yards rank: top 57% in class — average-0.300
Height-adjusted speed: 4.53s — below average speed for frame-0.290