Player breakdown
C.J. Beathard
Iowa · 2017 Draft Class
6-2219 lbs3rd round, 104th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SFO | 7 | 5 | 123 | 224 | 1,430 | 4 | 6 | 136 | 3 | 7 |
| 2018 | SFO | 6 | 5 | 102 | 169 | 1,252 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 1 | 9 |
| 2020 | SFO | 6 | 2 | 66 | 104 | 787 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 6 |
| 2021 | JAX | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | JAX | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | JAX | 7 | 1 | 40 | 53 | 349 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2 | 5 | 20 | 124 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 2 | 2 |
| 2014 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3 | 39 | 69 | 500 | 3 | 1 | 74 | 0 | 3 |
| 2015 | Iowa | Big Ten | 0 | 202 | 329 | 2,570 | 15 | 4 | 270 | 6 | 21 |
| 2016 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9 | 163 | 278 | 1,874 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
7%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.265
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
5,068 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.60 — strong athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+19.7) — getting better faster each year-0.390
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.356