Predicting the Pros
Predictions/C.J. Carr
C.J. Carr

Player breakdown

C.J. Carr

Notre Dame · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

42%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025Notre DameFBS Independents121812732,502123134315

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

42%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

2,502 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+2502.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
208.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)