Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cody Kessler
Cody Kessler

Player breakdown

Cody Kessler

USC · 2016 Draft Class

6-1220 lbs3rd round, 93rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

35%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2016CLE981281951,380621806
2017CLE30112312601-100
2018JAX54851317092212302
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2012USCBig Ten022900000
2013USCBig Ten122143312,6231660016
2014USCBig Ten112924133,5053640036
2015USCBig Ten02804143,3152860028

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

35%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1102 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4.00s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness+0.262
9,452 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.85 — elite athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+388.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)