Player breakdown
Cole McDonald
Hawaii · 2020 Draft Class
6-3215 lbs7th round, 224th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
EliteMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
81%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 138 | 1 | 2 |
| 2018 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 12 | 275 | 464 | 3,790 | 35 | 8 | 370 | 4 | 39 |
| 2019 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 12 | 298 | 465 | 3,642 | 29 | 14 | 393 | 6 | 35 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
81%
ML model output
Context Prob
81%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
Strong ascending production slope (+1810 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
7,454 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+171.3) — getting better faster each year-0.390
286.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
Height-adjusted speed: 4.40s — good speed for frame-0.312