Player breakdown
Colt McCoy
Texas · 2010 Draft Class
6-1216 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~40
EliteDavey O'Brien x1Manning x1Unitas x1All-American x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 4Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | CLE | 8 | 8 | 135 | 222 | 1,576 | 6 | 9 | 136 | 1 | 7 |
| 2011 | CLE | 13 | 13 | 265 | 463 | 2,733 | 14 | 11 | 212 | 0 | 14 |
| 2012 | CLE | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 79 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| 2013 | SFO | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2014 | WAS | 5 | 4 | 91 | 128 | 1,057 | 4 | 3 | 66 | 1 | 5 |
| 2015 | WAS | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 128 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2018 | WAS | 3 | 2 | 34 | 54 | 372 | 3 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 3 |
| 2019 | WAS | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 122 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | NYG | 4 | 2 | 40 | 66 | 375 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1 |
| 2021 | ARI | 8 | 3 | 74 | 99 | 740 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 3 |
| 2022 | ARI | 4 | 3 | 90 | 132 | 780 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Texas | SEC | 11 | 191 | 278 | 2,262 | 27 | 7 | 167 | 2 | 29 |
| 2007 | Texas | SEC | 11 | 255 | 393 | 3,129 | 21 | 18 | 408 | 3 | 24 |
| 2008 | Texas | SEC | 12 | 291 | 375 | 3,445 | 32 | 7 | 576 | 10 | 42 |
| 2009 | Texas | SEC | 13 | 332 | 470 | 3,521 | 27 | 12 | 348 | 3 | 30 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
19%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
12,357 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Improvement accelerating (+0.6) — getting better faster each year+0.235
Best-season yards rank: top 25% in class — strong+0.200
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.566
262.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.333