Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Colton Joseph
Colton Joseph

Player breakdown

Colton Joseph

Old Dominion · 2027 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025Old DominionSun Belt121642592,3741201,077618

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

38%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

2,374 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+2374.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
197.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)