Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Connor Cook
Connor Cook

Player breakdown

Connor Cook

Michigan St. · 2016 Draft Class

6-4217 lbs4th round, 100th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
HighUnitas x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

70%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2016OAK10142115011001
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2012Michigan StateBig Ten09179411001
2013Michigan StateBig Ten102013442,42320591121
2014Michigan StateBig Ten111883232,90022669224
2015Michigan StateBig Ten02103692,92124580024

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+942 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.288
4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.88 — elite athletic ceiling-0.445
Improvement accelerating (+30.1) — getting better faster each year-0.397
397.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)