Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Craig Krenzel
Craig Krenzel

Player breakdown

Craig Krenzel

Ohio St. · 2004 Draft Class

6-3228 lbs5th round, 148th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

34%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004CHI6559127718364103
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003Ohio StateBig Ten111682821,990141368317

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.394
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
4.08s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

180.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318
Height-adjusted speed: 4.65s — below average speed for frame-0.314
Best-season yards rank: top 69% in class — average-0.286

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)