Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Curtis Painter
Curtis Painter

Player breakdown

Curtis Painter

Purdue · 2009 Draft Class

6-3225 lbs6th round, 201st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2009IND208288302400
2011IND981322431,5416910706
2013NYG308165702-200
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2005PurdueBig Ten4891709323525147
2006PurdueBig Ten112924943,7512118116627
2007PurdueBig Ten113215153,3022690026
2008PurdueBig Ten62273792,400131110013

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.48s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
10,385 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Best-season yards rank: top 0% in class — class-best peak output+0.205

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.88 — elite athletic ceiling-0.445
Improvement accelerating (+3.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.359

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)