Player breakdown
Dan Orlovsky
Connecticut · 2005 Draft Class
6-5225 lbs5th round, 145th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | DET | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2008 | DET | 10 | 7 | 143 | 255 | 1,616 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 8 |
| 2011 | IND | 8 | 5 | 122 | 193 | 1,201 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2012 | TAM | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2015 | DET | 2 | 0 | 22 | 40 | 201 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Connecticut | FBS Independents | 6 | 143 | 242 | 1,694 | 15 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 15 |
| 2004 | Connecticut | FBS Independents | 8 | 268 | 416 | 3,115 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
31%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1421 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
4.39s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
4,809 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.559
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.338
343.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335