Player breakdown
Daniel Jones
Duke · 2019 Draft Class
6-5221 lbs1st round, 6th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
Low25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
34%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | NYG | 13 | 12 | 284 | 459 | 3,027 | 24 | 12 | 279 | 2 | 26 |
| 2020 | NYG | 14 | 14 | 280 | 448 | 2,943 | 11 | 10 | 423 | 1 | 12 |
| 2021 | NYG | 11 | 11 | 232 | 361 | 2,428 | 10 | 7 | 298 | 2 | 12 |
| 2022 | NYG | 16 | 16 | 317 | 472 | 3,205 | 15 | 5 | 708 | 7 | 22 |
| 2023 | NYG | 6 | 6 | 108 | 160 | 909 | 2 | 6 | 206 | 1 | 3 |
| 2024 | NYG | 10 | 10 | 216 | 341 | 2,070 | 8 | 7 | 265 | 2 | 10 |
| 2025 | IND | 13 | 13 | 261 | 384 | 3,101 | 19 | 8 | 164 | 5 | 24 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Duke | ACC | 11 | 270 | 430 | 2,836 | 16 | 9 | 486 | 7 | 23 |
| 2017 | Duke | ACC | 8 | 230 | 413 | 2,439 | 12 | 11 | 432 | 6 | 18 |
| 2018 | Duke | ACC | 8 | 207 | 351 | 2,251 | 17 | 7 | 325 | 2 | 19 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
34%
ML model output
Context Prob
34%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.443
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
4.41s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
Top Negative Factors
278.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
Height-adjusted speed: 4.50s — below average speed for frame-0.290