Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Danny Etling
Danny Etling

Player breakdown

Danny Etling

LSU · 2018 Draft Class

6-2222 lbs7th round, 219th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~32
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2013PurdueBig Ten61492671,6901070010
2014PurdueBig Ten48916280065006
2016LSUSEC61442401,9069444110
2017LSUSEC91462422,234142107216

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

28%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.388
Improvement accelerating (+0.3) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.37s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

276.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318
Height-adjusted speed: 4.63s — below average speed for frame-0.295
Best-season yards rank: top 92% in class — average-0.286

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)