Player breakdown
Darian Mensah
Duke · 2027 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.2M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
54%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Duke | ACC | 14 | 314 | 469 | 3,601 | 16 | 5 | 159 | 1 | 17 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1800 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.349
3,601 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.261
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.574
Improvement accelerating (+3601.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
257.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333