Predicting the Pros
Predictions/David Greene
David Greene

Player breakdown

David Greene

Georgia · 2005 Draft Class

6-3226 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

31%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003GeorgiaSEC112243592,57714294115
2004GeorgiaSEC91562612,2441820018

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

31%

ML model output

Context Prob

31%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.361
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
4.10s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

241.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.326
Height-adjusted speed: 4.59s — below average speed for frame-0.295
Best-season yards rank: top 58% in class — average-0.286

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)