Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Davis Webb
Davis Webb

Player breakdown

Davis Webb

California · 2017 Draft Class

6-5229 lbs3rd round, 87th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
EliteMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

76%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2021BUF1000000-300
2022NYG112340168104112
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2013Texas TechBig 1291983202,3151690016
2014Texas TechBig 1282113452,539241316125
2015Texas TechBig 120224130020624
2016CaliforniaACC123826204,29537120037

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

76%

ML model output

Context Prob

76%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
4.21s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
4,295 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

357.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
Height-adjusted speed: 4.48s — good speed for frame-0.307
Composite college score: 7 — average multi-metric profile-0.261

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)