Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dennis Dixon
Dennis Dixon

Player breakdown

Dennis Dixon

Oregon · 2008 Draft Class

6-3195 lbs5th round, 156th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

2%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008PIT1011300-300
2009PIT111226145112712
2010PIT222232254013200
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004OregonBig Ten061573004000
2005OregonBig Ten558856706313817
2006OregonBig Ten61873022,0211113391213
2007OregonBig Ten101722542,136204583929

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

2%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4,900 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
1.76 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.141
3-cone drill not recorded at combine+0.131

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+28.3) — getting better faster each year-0.390
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.342

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)