Derek Anderson

Oregon St. · 2005 Draft Class

6-6242 lbs6th round, 213th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43

High25+ Total TD

Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --

Model confidence

Success Probability

64%

Year	Team	G	GS	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2006	CLE	5	3	66	117	793	5	8	47	0	5
2007	CLE	16	15	298	527	3,787	29	19	70	3	32
2008	CLE	10	9	142	283	1,615	9	8	55	0	9
2009	CLE	8	7	81	182	888	3	10	8	2	5
2010	ARI	12	9	169	327	2,065	7	10	25	0	7
2011	CAR	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	0
2012	CAR	2	0	4	4	58	0	0	0	0	0
2013	CAR	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2014	CAR	6	2	65	97	701	5	0	24	0	5
2015	CAR	3	0	4	6	36	0	0	-2	0	0
2016	CAR	5	2	36	53	453	2	5	4	0	2
2017	CAR	3	0	2	8	17	0	0	-2	0	0
2018	BUF	2	2	42	70	465	0	4	-1	0	0

Season	Team	Conf	G	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2003	Oregon State	Pac-12	13	277	500	4,057	26	2	91	4	30
2004	Oregon State	Pac-12	10	251	470	3,257	25	17	0	0	25

Model readout

XGBoost Prob

64%

ML model output

Context Prob

64%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.363

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.345

4.62s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

318.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345

Height-adjusted speed: 4.64s — below average speed for frame-0.282

Composite college score: 9 — above avg multi-metric profile-0.261