Player breakdown
Devin Leary
Kentucky · 2024 Draft Class
6-1215 lbs6th round, 218th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | NC State | ACC | 5 | 101 | 210 | 1,219 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 8 |
| 2020 | NC State | ACC | 4 | 66 | 110 | 890 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 2021 | NC State | ACC | 12 | 283 | 431 | 3,433 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| 2022 | NC State | ACC | 0 | 118 | 193 | 1,265 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| 2023 | Kentucky | SEC | 13 | 193 | 343 | 2,440 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
41%
ML model output
Context Prob
41%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.278
2,440 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+1.8) — getting better faster each year-0.397
187.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.330